Novel data science approaches could drive advances in seasonal to sub-seasonal predictions of precipitation 25 November 2015

Novel data science approaches could drive advances in seasonal to sub-seasonal predictions of precipitation

Predictions at the seasonal to sub-seasonal scale are important for planning and decision-making in a variety of disciplines, and improving understanding and model skill at this timescale is a key research priority. An as yet underexplored approach to sub-seasonal prediction using data science and graph theory methods that are increasingly common to other fields outside of meteorology and climate science shows potential to improve predictions at this challenging timescale.

Objective Diagnostics and the Madden–Julian Oscillation: Application to Moist Static Energy and Moisture Budgets. 2 November 2015

Objective Diagnostics and the Madden–Julian Oscillation: Application to Moist Static Energy and Moisture Budgets.

Process understanding of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) has increased dramatically over the past decade, but many observed features of the MJO are not well explained by physical mechanisms believed to underlie the phenomenon. New CVP-supported research published in the Journal of Climate examines Moist Static Energy (MSE) and moisture budgets to understand MJO moisture variations.

Climate models bias the rains down in Africa, but there’s something that 100 model runs or more could do 26 October 2015

Climate models bias the rains down in Africa, but there’s something that 100 model runs or more could do

If Toto had been a group of climate modelers instead of a band, the song “Africa” might have informed listeners that East Africa has two rainy seasons--long rains from March to May and short rains from October to December.

Wintertime Atmospheric Response to North Atlantic Ocean Circulation Variability 13 October 2015

Wintertime Atmospheric Response to North Atlantic Ocean Circulation Variability

Research supported by CPO's Climate Variability and Predictability program (CVP) and published in the Journal of Climate tests the wintertime atmospheric response to North Atlantic Ocean circulation variability in CCSM4.

Understanding Madden­-Julian Oscillation Initiation and Propagation 7 October 2015

Understanding Madden­-Julian Oscillation Initiation and Propagation

NOAA’s Climate Variability and Predictability (CVP) program competitively funded 2 new three-year projects totaling $2.4 million in grants and $598,000 in other awards to support 20 researchers, postdocs, and students at 10 institutions.

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