Why seasonal prediction skill changes over time 2 October 2019

Why seasonal prediction skill changes over time

The MAPP-funded study finds that ENSO, PDO, and other sources of abnormal sea surface temperatures serve as predictors for U.S. seasonal mean precipitation and that these sources change seasonally and decadally.

Can atmospheric patterns help predict coastal flooding? 6 September 2019

Can atmospheric patterns help predict coastal flooding?

A new study shows significant potential in using atmospheric patterns to forecast coastal flooding that occurs without rainfall during high tides.

MAPP’s S2S Prediction Task Force Announces AGU Special Collection on S2S Research 28 June 2019

MAPP’s S2S Prediction Task Force Announces AGU Special Collection on S2S Research

Since 2016, the Subseaonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Task Force has been focusing efforts on bridging the skill gap between weather and seasonal prediction lead times. Publication of this special collection represents an important milestone for the group.

Climate Change is Destroying a Barrier That Protects the U.S. East Coast from Hurricanes 24 May 2019

Climate Change is Destroying a Barrier That Protects the U.S. East Coast from Hurricanes

Columbia University highlights Mingfang Ting, James Kossin (NOAA NCEI), Cuihua Li, and Suzana Camargo's new hurricane intensity study, supported by NOAA Research's Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (MAPP) Program, 

Little evidence of reduced global tropical cyclone activity following recent volcanic eruptions 20 May 2019

Little evidence of reduced global tropical cyclone activity following recent volcanic eruptions

Research led by MAPP supported PI, Dr. Suzana Camargo, examined the impact of volcanic aerosols on recent global tropical cyclone activity in observations, reanalysis, and models (including the CMIP5 multi-model). 

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