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Earth System Science and Modeling Division

CPO's Earth System Science and Modeling (ESSM) Division supports research to advance understanding of the Earth system.

To understand and predict changes in climate, weather, oceans, and coasts--so people can protect themselves and their property--we need to understand global patterns and climate variability and change. And to help manage and conserve coastal resources and marine ecosystems, we need to understand and monitor our oceans and coasts.

The ESSM Division is actively building the global and regional scale understanding needed to improve predictions. The program coordinates an array of researchers from federal agencies, national labs, and universities, focusing them on the most pressing climate research necessary to advance NOAA's prediction and other services and applications.

The ESSM Division comprises five programs: Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP), Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP), Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle, & Climate (AC4), Climate Observations and Monitoring (COM), and Earth's Radiation Budget (ERB).

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ESSM Newsletters

Winter 2018-19

Summer 2020

Winter 2020-21

Summer 2021

Winter 2021-22

ESSM News

New Global Plankton Data Product to Link Climate and Fisheries in Global Models 9 June 2023

New Global Plankton Data Product to Link Climate and Fisheries in Global Models

COM/CVP/GOMO supported research team releases a new data product providing global plankton community size structure observations to benefit biogeochemical modeling.

 

 

 

New MAPP-funded study highlights the importance of zooplankton representation in Earth System Models (ESMs) to future projections of ocean biogeochemistry 9 June 2023

New MAPP-funded study highlights the importance of zooplankton representation in Earth System Models (ESMs) to future projections of ocean biogeochemistry

MAPP-funded research shows that the inclusion of zooplankton biomass in models could improve models’ representation of ocean biogeochemistry.

Verifying the Reliability of Satellite Formaldehyde Measurements 26 May 2023

Verifying the Reliability of Satellite Formaldehyde Measurements

A new AC4-supported validation study compares formaldehyde observations taken from two satellites to ground observations to ensure accuracy for tracking harmful pollution in Earth’s atmosphere.

Seasonal ocean forecasts to improve predictions of Dungeness crab catch rates 26 May 2023

Seasonal ocean forecasts to improve predictions of Dungeness crab catch rates

A new MAPP-funded study works with both state and tribal fishery managers to improve West Coast Dungeness crab catch rate models.

How Well do CMIP6 Models Represent Important Wind Flow in the Boundary Layer? 19 May 2023

How Well do CMIP6 Models Represent Important Wind Flow in the Boundary Layer?

A comparative analysis of CMIP6 models and their representation of wind-turning reveals underestimation across the board, in a new Climate Process Team study supported by CVP.

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Contacts


Division Chief

P: 301-734-1185
E:

Clara Deck
Communications Specialist
P: (202) 964-1088
E:

Dr. Sandy Lucas
CVP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1253
E:

Virginia Selz
CVP Program Manager
 P: 301-734-1265
E:

Jose Algarin
CVP Program Specialist
E:

Victoria Breeze
Program Manager
P: (301) 734-1200
E:

Dr. Greg Frost
Acting Program Manager
P: (720) 530-3641
E:

 

Modeling, Analysis, Predictions & Projections (MAPP)

Dr. Daniel Barrie
Acting MAPP Program Director
P: 301-734-1256
E:

David Benson
MAPP Program Analyst
P:
E:

Courtney Byrd
MAPP Program Specialist
P: 301-734-1257
E:

Dr. Daniel Barrie
MAPP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1256
E:

Virginia Selz
Federal Liason, CPO
P: (301) 734-1265
E:

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Americans’ health, security and economic wellbeing are tied to climate and weather. Every day, we see communities grappling with environmental challenges due to unusual or extreme events related to climate and weather. 

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