Persistent U.S. droughts could be forecasted years in advance 24 April 2017

Persistent U.S. droughts could be forecasted years in advance

Two new studies that hint at the tantalizing possibility that persistent drought conditions could be predictable one or more years in advance, using the influence of the tropical Pacific Ocean’s slow changes in temperature.

Scientists link California droughts and floods to distinctive atmospheric waves 6 April 2017

Scientists link California droughts and floods to distinctive atmospheric waves

The crippling wintertime droughts that struck California from 2013 to 2015, as well as this year's unusually wet California winter, appear to be associated with the same phenomenon: a distinctive wave pattern that emerges in the upper atmosphere and circles the globe.

Atmospheric rivers more frequent and intense during certain phases of ENSO, study says 3 April 2017

Atmospheric rivers more frequent and intense during certain phases of ENSO, study says

A new study by Hye-Mi Kim (Stony Brook University) and other researchers has found that the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, which changes slowly and is usually predictable many months in advance, affects how frequently atmospheric rivers make landfall along the western U.S. coast.

NOAA publishes agency-wide framework to optimize and accelerate modeling 29 March 2017

NOAA publishes agency-wide framework to optimize and accelerate modeling

A new NOAA report describes high-priority recommendations to improve the way NOAA develops and operates models.

Skillful seasonal predictions of the California Current sea surface temperature possible, study says 29 March 2017

Skillful seasonal predictions of the California Current sea surface temperature possible, study says

A seasonal multi-model forecast system can produce skillful predictions of sea surface temperature in the California Current System up to 4 months in advance, according to a new study published in Climate Dynamics.
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