What can drought-stricken California expect from the El Niño winter forecast? 12 February 2016

What can drought-stricken California expect from the El Niño winter forecast?

A subgroup of the NOAA Drought Task Force recently released a science assessment looking at the relationship between El Niño and the California drought, a discussion that is pertinent within the context of the strong 2015/2016 El Niño event.
New CPO-funded research examines high resolution impacts on forecast skill of tropical cyclone activity in coupled prediction systems 28 December 2015

New CPO-funded research examines high resolution impacts on forecast skill of tropical cyclone activity in coupled prediction systems

New research funded by the Climate Program Office’s Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) Program indicates that the potential for high-resolution coupled (atmosphere-ocean) modeling to improve seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclone activity may be greater than previously believed.
Two new approaches to extended-range severe thunderstorm forecasts from CFSv2 1 December 2015

Two new approaches to extended-range severe thunderstorm forecasts from CFSv2

A study by Gregory Carbin (NOAA Storm Prediction Center), Michael Tippett (Columbia University), Samuel Lillo (University of Oklahoma), and Harold Brooks (NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory), funded by CPO’s Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections program, introduces two new approaches for producing long-range severe thunderstorm predictions.
Comparing Two Generations of Climate Model Simulations and Projections of Regional Climate Processes for North America 9 October 2015

Comparing Two Generations of Climate Model Simulations and Projections of Regional Climate Processes for North America

A technical report produced by the NOAA CMIP5 Task Force analyzes how CMIP5--the latest generation of climate model simulations--compares to CMIP3 simulations and projections of regional climate processes for North America.

Researchers call for greater consideration of the human impacts on water stress in Nature commentary 21 September 2015

Researchers call for greater consideration of the human impacts on water stress in Nature commentary

Researchers from OAR and the University of California system, including Amir AghaKouchak, David Feldman, and Travis Huxman (University of California, Irvine) as well as Martin Hoerling (NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory) and Jay Lund (University of California, Davis), recently published an essay in Nature discussing the future implications for California and other regions with growing populations and industries of the growing demand humans are placing on water.
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