Global rainfall pattern could offer prediction skill three weeks out 19 January 2018

Global rainfall pattern could offer prediction skill three weeks out

A new study says that teleconnections with certain phases of a recurring tropical rainfall pattern could extend predictions up to 20-25 days in advance. The authors’ findings provide guidance on which tropical conditions might lead to improved forecasts beyond our current capability – and more time to prepare for extreme events.

NOAA and partners release database for research to bridge weather to climate forecast gap 17 October 2017

NOAA and partners release database for research to bridge weather to climate forecast gap

Two new datasets, funded in part by NOAA Research’s Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) Program, now provide easy public access to 60 terabytes of climate forecasts containing predictions of rainfall, temperature, winds and other variables at the subseasonal level (two weeks to two months ahead).

NOAA Research leads to a new milestone in improving operational predictions from weeks to seasons 27 September 2017

NOAA Research leads to a new milestone in improving operational predictions from weeks to seasons

As an important milestone for NOAA’s ongoing efforts, researchers from universities, NOAA OAR research laboratories and the National Weather Service (NWS) recently met to discuss efforts to improve S2S predictions.

Scientists meet to improve predictions from weeks to seasons 7 September 2017

Scientists meet to improve predictions from weeks to seasons

Bridging the gap between short-term weather and long-term climate predictions has remained challenging for scientists, but public demand and promising research has focused NOAA's attention on this prediction problem. In an effort to further progress, researchers from universities, NOAA and other labs and centers will meet to highlight recent efforts to develop skillful predictions for the subseasonal to seasonal timescale. 

NOAA Research plays key role in advancing subseasonal extreme weather and climate prediction 20 December 2016

NOAA Research plays key role in advancing subseasonal extreme weather and climate prediction

Representatives from academia, government, and the private sector recently concluded a two day NOAA-supported workshop on improving understanding and prediction of extreme weather and climate from two weeks to a season ahead (subseasonal to seasonal). This workshop followed a kickoff meeting for a new NOAA Research-organized Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Prediction Task Force.  

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