CPO’s Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) program will host a technical workshop jointly organized by NOAA-DOE on high-resolution coupling and initialization to improve predictability and prediction in climate models September 30th through October 2nd at the NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction Conference Center in College Park, Maryland.
Coarse resolution climate models do not reliably simulate complex physical processes and fine-scale phenomenon at local to regional scales. Recently, there has been a growing demand for more accurate predictions from weeks to seasons at these spatial scales through higher resolution coupled modeling. Addressing the needs and challenges for fine-scale climate prediction through this workshop and future efforts could improve forecasts of extremes and regional seasonal predictions, and ultimately planning for resiliency. The NOAA CPO MAPP Program and its partners are key players in pushing the research prediction community forward to enhance NWS predictions and the development of a National Earth System Prediction Capability.
The purpose of the workshop is to enhance communication, summarize the current status of the research, and to develop a potential future experimental research framework for addressing major questions while considering computing resource requirements. This workshop will bring together key national and international participants who have been experimenting with cutting edge high-resolution modeling and predictions from universities, research laboratories, as well as operational centers. A workshop report will summarize key findings from the workshop.
Americans’ health, security and economic wellbeing are tied to climate and weather. Every day, we see communities grappling with environmental challenges due to unusual or extreme events related to climate and weather. In 2011, the United States experienced a record high number (14) of climate- and weather-related disasters where overall costs reached or exceeded $1 billion. Combined, these events claimed 670 lives, caused more than 6,000 injuries, and cost $55 billion in damages. Businesses, policy leaders, resource managers and citizens are increasingly asking for information to help them address such challenges.
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