Earth System Science and Modeling

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CPO's Earth System Science and Modeling (ESSM) division supports a unique and highly flexible climate research enterprise to improve scientific understanding of climate variability and change. The ESSM Division comprises three programs: Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP), Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP), and Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle, & Climate (AC4)

ESSM News

Harvey & Irma, Part Two: Prediction Across Timescales 20 September 2017

Harvey & Irma, Part Two: Prediction Across Timescales

The NOAA CPO Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) program will host a webinar on research on the topic of Harvey and Irma: Prediction Across Timescales on Thursday, September 28, 2017.

Harvey & Irma, Part One: Attribution, Precipitation, & Flooding 20 September 2017

Harvey & Irma, Part One: Attribution, Precipitation, & Flooding

The NOAA CPO Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) program will host a webinar on research on the topic of Harvey and Irma: Attribution, Precipitation, and Flooding on Wednesday, September 27, 2017.

State-of-the-art seasonal prediction research published in new special collection 8 September 2017

State-of-the-art seasonal prediction research published in new special collection

A special issue on the interagency North American Multi-model Ensemble, a seasonal prediction system combining forecasts from the leading North American climate models, is now available. The papers in this special issue document a variety of different research uses of the NMME system database, which includes a 30-year set of hindcasts as well as real-time forecasts.  

Scientists meet to improve predictions from weeks to seasons 7 September 2017

Scientists meet to improve predictions from weeks to seasons

Bridging the gap between short-term weather and long-term climate predictions has remained challenging for scientists, but public demand and promising research has focused NOAA's attention on this prediction problem. In an effort to further progress, researchers from universities, NOAA and other labs and centers will meet to highlight recent efforts to develop skillful predictions for the subseasonal to seasonal timescale. 

Newly released model forecasts could help advance NOAA’s week 3-4 outlooks 17 August 2017

Newly released model forecasts could help advance NOAA’s week 3-4 outlooks

Predicting the weather 3 to 4 weeks from now is extremely challenging, yet many critical decisions affecting communities and economies must be made at this lead time. However, model forecasts available for the first time this week could help NOAA's operational Climate Prediction Center significantly improve its week 3-4 temperature and precipitation outlooks for the U.S. 

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ESSM Division Chief

Dr. Jin Huang
Earth System Science and Modeling Division
P: 301-734-1185
E: jin.huang@noaa.gov

N. Darlene Ward*
P: 301-427-1220
E: darlene.ward@noaa.gov


Contact MAPP

Dr. Annarita Mariotti
MAPP Program Director
P: 301-734-1237
E: annarita.mariotti@noaa.gov

Dr. Heather Archambault
MAPP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1219
E: heather.archambault@noaa.gov

Dr. Daniel Barrie
MAPP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1256
E: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov

Alison Stevens*
MAPP Program Specialist
P: 301-734-1218
E: alison.stevens@noaa.gov


Contact Assessments

Dr. Daniel Barrie
MAPP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1256
E: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov

Alison Stevens*
MAPP Program Specialist
P: 301-734-1218
E: alison.stevens@noaa.gov


Contact CVP

Dr. Sandy Lucas
CVP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1253
E: sandy.lucas@noaa.gov


Contact AC4

Dr. Ken Mooney
Program Manager, Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle, & Climate (AC4)
P: (301) 734-1242
F: (301) 713-0517
E: kenneth.mooney@noaa.gov

Dr. Monika Kopacz (UCAR)
Program manager, Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle and Climate (AC4)
P: (301) 734-1208
E: monika.kopacz@noaa.gov

CONTACT US

Climate Program Office
1315 East-West Hwy, Suite 1100
Silver Spring, MD 20910

CPO.webmaster@noaa.gov

ABOUT OUR ORGANIZATION

Americans’ health, security and economic wellbeing are tied to climate and weather. Every day, we see communities grappling with environmental challenges due to unusual or extreme events related to climate and weather. In 2011, the United States experienced a record high number (14) of climate- and weather-related disasters where overall costs reached or exceeded $1 billion. Combined, these events claimed 670 lives, caused more than 6,000 injuries, and cost $55 billion in damages. Businesses, policy leaders, resource managers and citizens are increasingly asking for information to help them address such challenges.